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Thread Statistics | Show CCP posts - 2 post(s) |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 20:38:00 -
[1] - Quote
why should it be less lucrative? if you're going to carry cargo worth more than it costs to turn your ship to space dust it's only logical that you're going to end up as space dust.
you really can't legislate for stupidity. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 20:54:00 -
[2] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Elvis Fett wrote:How does one fit a tank on a freighter? Gang bonuses and logis immediately spring to mind. not filling it full of bpos and faction/officer mods is another way. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 21:30:00 -
[3] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Gankers just want their risk free money. Just be less efficient/use more freighters until they get bored.
to yes, the would rather you jet your cargo for them. however they're more than happy to blow you up if you're stupid enough to stick 20bn isk in a charon and auto pilot to the arse end of nowhere. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 21:40:00 -
[4] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Dave stark wrote:Jaison Savrin wrote:Gankers just want their risk free money. Just be less efficient/use more freighters until they get bored. to yes, the would rather you jet your cargo for them. however they're more than happy to blow you up if you're stupid enough to stick 20bn isk in a charon and auto pilot to the arse end of nowhere. See "Waste your time or be killed. Either way gankers ruin your day." I run 3 freighters in High Sec and a Jump Freighter when I need it. I have never been ganked. It doesn't mean making 3 trips instead of 1 isn't really freaking annoying.
no, your own stupidity and impatience ruin your day. gankers are just there to take advantage of your stupidity or impatience. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 21:51:00 -
[5] - Quote
Natsett Amuinn wrote: And remember, Because the hulk wasn't intedned to be a guaranteed profit to gank, no ship in high sec is supposed to be profitable to ever gank.
such a shame a lot of people don't understand that the statement wasn't about ships carrying any kind of cargo and therefore they think it's fine to run around with billions stuffed in their cargo hold and not expect some one to shoot them. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 21:55:00 -
[6] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Tippia wrote:Jaison Savrin wrote:Willingly having your ship blown up isn't a risk. Risk = cost +ù probability. For p=1, risk = cost. It's still a risk in and of itself, and then you combine it with the risks in the pay-out, and with the simple logic that, if you want to claim that it's no risk just because you have a 100% probability, you should campaign for CONCORD only having a 50% response rate so the gankers' risk increasesGǪ Oh, and your every-day operating costs are risks too GÇö just ones that you can predict with a high degree of certainty (surprise, surprise). If I run a company and I know that every single time I turn on a machine it will cost me $300 an hour to run it and I also know I need to run it for 5 hours a day to create a product then I know the cost will be 300*5 per day. It is not a "risk" that I will be charged $1,500 a day. It is an operating cost of running my business. If I know it takes 10 Tornadoes of a specific fit to kill a max skill freighter and I know that each Tornado costs me 75 mil to buy and fit. I know that a max skill freighter will cost me 75*10 million. With the cargo scanners it is extremely simple to approximate the amount of cargo and the value in a freighter. From there it is a simple bit of math to figure out the probable profit. The only risk is the loot fairy being evil. It puts the risk of gankinig on the same plane as PvEing for rare drops. The numbers in the second paragraph are probably woefully wrong but my point stands. Operating costs only become risks in an extremely unstable market. Even then risks in ganking are extremely easy to mitigate and most of them are occurring before the freighter even knows they are being targeted. Ganking is relatively risk free. I never said "too" risk free. I don't mind ganking. I just think it is really dumb for people to claim it is a risky occupation. Admit y'all, you're just playing around shooting fish in a barrel.
the flaw in your analogy is that you will turn on your machines, and you will produce product.
a gankworthy freighter might not come through all day, and you produce nothing. you're comparing fixed costs to variable costs. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:03:00 -
[7] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Dave stark wrote: the flaw in your analogy is that you will turn on your machines, and you will produce product.
a gankworthy freighter might not come through all day, and you produce nothing. you're comparing fixed costs to variable costs. Quote:The only risk is the loot fairy being evil. It puts the risk of gankinig on the same plane as PvEing for rare drops. I admitted as much. I still think ganking is pretty risk free in the end. All I am asking is that gankers admit they are scrapping the bottom of the barrel by claiming their play style is risky.
any playstyle is risky. this is eve. everything you do has a possibility of resulting in losing isk/time/etc and that possibility is quite simply risk.
saying something has no risk in this game is like saying "i don't need oxygen" it's both incorrect and stupid. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:06:00 -
[8] - Quote
Lady Katherine Devonshire wrote:Dave stark wrote:if you're going to carry cargo worth more than it costs to turn your ship to space dust it's only logical that you're going to end up as space dust. And how much does it cost a ganker to turn a freighter into space dust? Ah, I think I see the problem...
i have no idea how much ehp a freighter has, or how much dps a cheap t3 battlecruiser can put out.
so, i don't know. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:11:00 -
[9] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Risk may be Cost * probability. I do not know.
so, you're openly admitting you don't know about the topic being discussed.
well... Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:13:00 -
[10] - Quote
Natsett Amuinn wrote:Dave stark wrote:Lady Katherine Devonshire wrote:Dave stark wrote:if you're going to carry cargo worth more than it costs to turn your ship to space dust it's only logical that you're going to end up as space dust. And how much does it cost a ganker to turn a freighter into space dust? Ah, I think I see the problem... i have no idea how much ehp a freighter has, or how much dps a cheap t3 battlecruiser can put out. so, i don't know. Over 130k EHP. They do not require an insignificant investment to take down. Nor does the cost of a ship matter. Nothing is ballanced around "how much does it cost" to blow up another ship. It was only a problem with the hulk becuse the hulk GUARANTEED a profit. It had nothing to do with any ship being profitable, it sure didn't have anything to do with a freighter loaded with billions of ISK in goods. There is no profit unless the drop works out. That is working as intended, as is being able to blow up a freighter.
that's pitiful ehp, then again i guess you're paying 1.5bn isk for over 800k of cargo space, not an impregnable floating fortress. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |
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Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:27:00 -
[11] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Dave stark wrote:Jaison Savrin wrote:Risk may be Cost * probability. I do not know. so, you're openly admitting you don't know about the topic being discussed. well... In business (which Eve is not) Risk may be Cost * probability. I do not know. Nice try on that. Selectively editing a post to try to prove a point does little more than prove that you do not have a strong basis for your argument and makes you look foolish. If you want to continue to try to disprove my point or change my opinion fine. However, don't make yourself look like an idiot in the process. It brings nothing to the debate of value.
except, eve is business. hauling items is logistics, which is a business. almost every activity in the game is based upon some kind of business model.
hence, you are admitting you haven't got a clue. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:29:00 -
[12] - Quote
Lady Katherine Devonshire wrote:Dave stark wrote:that's pitiful ehp, then again i guess you're paying 1.5bn isk for over 800k of cargo space, not an impregnable floating fortress. Then give freighters slot options like any normal ship so that they can be, if the captain so chooses.
sure, as long as we're reducing the cargo capacity while we're at it. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
532
|
Posted - 2012.11.03 22:56:00 -
[13] - Quote
Jaison Savrin wrote:Dave stark wrote:Jaison Savrin wrote:Dave stark wrote:Jaison Savrin wrote:Risk may be Cost * probability. I do not know. so, you're openly admitting you don't know about the topic being discussed. well... In business (which Eve is not) Risk may be Cost * probability. I do not know. Nice try on that. Selectively editing a post to try to prove a point does little more than prove that you do not have a strong basis for your argument and makes you look foolish. If you want to continue to try to disprove my point or change my opinion fine. However, don't make yourself look like an idiot in the process. It brings nothing to the debate of value. except, eve is business. hauling items is logistics, which is a business. almost every activity in the game is based upon some kind of business model. hence, you are admitting you haven't got a clue. Eve is a game. There are instances where business logic can be applied because of the nature of the free form player driven economy. We aren't debating on the practical applications of business theory to logistics. We're talking about whether ganking is or isn't a relatively risk free activity. I've already admitted that there are ways to mitigate the probability of getting ganked as a freighter pilot. I already apply these to the best of my ability. I'm not saying ganking is bad. I am just saying it is no more risky than other random drop activities. If I were in null sec farming officer spawns with a strong intel network behind me my risk would be about the same. I can find out the best method for finding these officers, I can find out the probability of it dropping, I can do some math, and I can predict the outcome. Just like ganking. Could I be wrong and have wasted time? Sure, that is a very smalle "risk" though. If I am in a pimped ratting ship my ISK investment is about the same though. With a good intel network I have mitigated getting caught to near 0. The only thing ganking has that is a lot more difficult to mitigate is its operating cost. Which I do not define as risk. Even if I did define it so I would argue that is balanced out by the time investment of getting a particular spawn and drop in ratting. To me they are roughly equal in risk.
i'm just going to say "ok"
because **** reading that wall of text. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
538
|
Posted - 2012.11.04 09:23:00 -
[14] - Quote
Sentamon wrote:Hauling should have never been made as safe and boring as it is by adding Warp to 0.
End result, you've got complacent people losing 8 Billion in Cargo.
Karma.
that's not really a problem.
the problem is them feeling entitled to 0 risk hauling. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
540
|
Posted - 2012.11.04 10:31:00 -
[15] - Quote
1.7bn of fullerides alone, 1bn of something else, and that's just 2 of the stacks of items with other stuff.
so really it's "stupid freighter pilots are still getting ganked" Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
540
|
Posted - 2012.11.04 10:59:00 -
[16] - Quote
ctx2007 wrote:He only wanted to build a nomad so hes gutted now
would have been cheaper for him to pay RF or push.... hope he's learned his lesson. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
550
|
Posted - 2012.11.04 18:29:00 -
[17] - Quote
Anosha de'Cavemann wrote:I've been playing for about 2 months, and thanks to reading the forums and *repeated* posts by the following:
baltec1 Natsett Amuinn Tippia
Plus a lot of others, even nooby me knows to fly with WAY under 1 bil.. I've flown right past them 1 or 2 times, carrying 5-20 mil of hard earned loot, crapping my pants and GǪ. wait for it GǪ. no problemsGǪ.
What is so hard to figure out? Right now, these are the 'rules' of the sandbox. Figure out how to change it in-game or don't complain.
Nooby-1, out.
see, this guy gets it.
don't fill your cargo full of expensive shiny stuff and the magpies will leave you alone. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
552
|
Posted - 2012.11.04 20:42:00 -
[18] - Quote
Tippia wrote:Dave stark wrote:Anosha de'Cavemann wrote:I've been playing for about 2 months, and thanks to reading the forums and *repeated* posts by the following:
baltec1 Natsett Amuinn Tippia
Plus a lot of others, even nooby me knows to fly with WAY under 1 bil.. I've flown right past them 1 or 2 times, carrying 5-20 mil of hard earned loot, crapping my pants and GǪ. wait for it GǪ. no problemsGǪ.
What is so hard to figure out? Right now, these are the 'rules' of the sandbox. Figure out how to change it in-game or don't complain.
Nooby-1, out. see, this guy gets it. don't fill your cargo full of expensive shiny stuff and the magpies will leave you alone. GǪto be fair, flying past me is thoroughly risk-free, since I don't gank. I just impart the sensible approach I've picked up, which strangely enough puts me on the same side of the argument as those who do blow people up. 
it's not really as much of an argument as a brave few standing against the wave of tears.
i don't gank either and i'd love 0 risk hauling. simple fact is, it ain't going to happen and no amount of tears will change it. best to just deal with the situation and get on with whatever else you have to do. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:21:00 -
[19] - Quote
Herr Hammer Draken wrote:If a player wants to add risk to a gankers life then double wrap everything. Send three frieghters for every cargo load. Two of the frieghters will have zero value double wraped contracts. Only one of the three will have a cargo with value.
Then does that one frieghters cargo value = its cost to gank it, or equal the cost to gank all three frieghters? Risk = chance of the unknown.
or just don't stick over 1bn in your cargo hold because most gankers won't even bother trying to pop your freighter for that little potential reward.
especially if it's 1bn isk worth of trit. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:35:00 -
[20] - Quote
CCP Eterne wrote:I removed some off topic discussion of the dictionary definition of terms that had ventured into trolling territory. If you want to discuss the meaning of words, EVE General is not the place to do it.
but some people really, really need it explaining to them. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |
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Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:44:00 -
[21] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Making money every gank, sounds like we can ditch the technical definition of risk and just use the commonsense definition for profit. Gain - cost. Short and sweet.
sure. but then you're making some rather dangerous assumptions.
for example, you're assuming there's no logi about to drop out of warp and rep the freighter, or some other type of escort. mayhaps a wartarget appears on grid to ruin your day.
even if you know that the cost of their cargo is greater than the costs of the ships to gank the freighter, they are not the only variables you must consider.
no matter what you do in eve, there is always a chance some one is about to land on grid with you and **** up your day. always. sure that risk might be tiny, but it's always there. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:51:00 -
[22] - Quote
Herr Hammer Draken wrote:Dave stark wrote:Herr Hammer Draken wrote:If a player wants to add risk to a gankers life then double wrap everything. Send three frieghters for every cargo load. Two of the frieghters will have zero value double wraped contracts. Only one of the three will have a cargo with value.
Then does that one frieghters cargo value = its cost to gank it, or equal the cost to gank all three frieghters? Risk = chance of the unknown. or just don't stick over 1bn in your cargo hold because most gankers won't even bother trying to pop your freighter for that little potential reward. especially if it's 1bn isk worth of trit. That works as well, but the assumption is as of right now that any double wraped cargo is worth ganking because it is double wraped. So until a few ganks happen on double wraped frieghters with zero value there will imply no risk to the double wraped cargo gank. The known value of the cargo if below ganking value is still not adding risk, as it just defines the value as not being worth the cost of the gank. No risk in this case. It simply is not worth the effort. So why do I say it like this? Assume you want to ship 66 billion. And it fits in one frieghter. You can send 66 frieghters of 1 billion each and be safe. Or you can send 3 frieghters one has 66 billion the other two zero all double wraped. So the values are unknown. If a zero value frieghter gets ganked it has to get posted to a kill board to become known that this is occuring. That is how risk gets known and becomes calculated. By the kill boards.
i am willing to wager good isk that if you asked most freighter pilots, the majority wouldn't know what double wrapping is. not unless hauling is their primary activity in eve or they're active on the forums. the regular freighter pilots that don't fly for places like push/red frog etc or frequent the forums are probably the majority (i'd put money on that).
so yes, any thing double wrapped is generally worth ganking. even sending 3 freighters and only one of them having cargo in would just result in 3 freighter ganks. (i'd put good isk on that, too).
however, if you have 66bn isk to haul, i think at that point you're a fool if you try and haul it yourself. the time it takes to haul it safely is too great an opportunity cost to do it yourself, and the risk of hauling it all at once is far, far too high. at that point i'd just outsource it. i'd gladly pay red frog/push to take it 1bn isk at a time, they have a whole fleet of freighters who will do those 66 1bn isk trips in the time it'd take you to do a fraction of those trips. also the cost they ask is arguably nothing in comparison to the fact that you have 66bn isk of assets sitting in a hangar some where.
it doesn't really make sense on any level to try and haul that much stuff yourself.
Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:52:00 -
[23] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Dave stark wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Making money every gank, sounds like we can ditch the technical definition of risk and just use the commonsense definition for profit. Gain - cost. Short and sweet. sure. but then you're making some rather dangerous assumptions. for example, you're assuming there's no logi about to drop out of warp and rep the freighter, or some other type of escort. mayhaps a wartarget appears on grid to ruin your day. even if you know that the cost of their cargo is greater than the costs of the ships to gank the freighter, they are not the only variables you must consider. no matter what you do in eve, there is always a chance some one is about to land on grid with you and **** up your day. always. sure that risk might be tiny, but it's always there. I'm not assuming anything, I'm quoting the opinion of an expert ;) Those are indeed possibilities, though. If you read the full article, he mentions all those.
well you are making those assumptions, which is why that gain - cost model is totally inappropriate, however i'm not getting in to this debate with you. i've just woken up, it's monday morning, and i know the probability is that i'm more qualified to speak on this subject than you are.
carry on arguing with tippia if you want but i'm not biting. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 09:58:00 -
[24] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Dave stark wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Dave stark wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Making money every gank, sounds like we can ditch the technical definition of risk and just use the commonsense definition for profit. Gain - cost. Short and sweet. sure. but then you're making some rather dangerous assumptions. for example, you're assuming there's no logi about to drop out of warp and rep the freighter, or some other type of escort. mayhaps a wartarget appears on grid to ruin your day. even if you know that the cost of their cargo is greater than the costs of the ships to gank the freighter, they are not the only variables you must consider. no matter what you do in eve, there is always a chance some one is about to land on grid with you and **** up your day. always. sure that risk might be tiny, but it's always there. I'm not assuming anything, I'm quoting the opinion of an expert ;) Those are indeed possibilities, though. If you read the full article, he mentions all those. well you are making those assumptions, which is why that gain - cost model is totally inappropriate, however i'm not getting in to this debate with you. i've just woken up, it's monday morning, and i know the probability is that i'm more qualified to speak on this subject than you are. carry on arguing with tippia if you want but i'm not biting. I'm not making "those assumptions", I'm quoting an expert on ganking. I attributed the quote and everything. Sorry to disappoint.
ok so it's a boring monday morning, i'll bite.
you're not making those assumptions, you're just interpreting the quote how you want. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 10:07:00 -
[25] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Dave stark wrote: ok so it's a boring monday morning, i'll bite.
you're not making those assumptions, you're just interpreting the quote how you want.
Well, I went by the literal meaning of the quote, which is probably not quite actual, but probably very close. Like I said, the full article mentions all those things you mention, and says that they just flat out haven't worked to save the freighter, in practice. Risk probability nonzero, risk value zero, in the formula we know and love.
care to link said article please? i'd like to read it. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 10:20:00 -
[26] - Quote
Herr Hammer Draken wrote:I agree with most of that. However the ganks tend to be only strong enough to kill one frieghter at a time. So three at once is a viable tactic. Very unlikely that a ganker fleet will have enough ships on hand to kill all three at the same time. Unless in Jita space.
And if they kill the wrong one and its value is zero and it gets posted to a kill board well you know where that is going.
Like I said this is risk based for both parties. If you do not want any risk it can be avoided by breaking the cargo down into smaller chunks. However then do not double wrap it as you will lose some of it if it is double wraped. The assumption being double wraped is worth ganking always until proven wrong by kill mail.
i think that depends how lucky you are with who scans you on the gate. if the people that scan you do this sort of thing as their primary income i wouldn't be surprised if they had the required firepower to take down 3 freighters in a row.
i think double wrapping is going to become a double edged sword. it's a gamble for every one involved but as it stands if people are going through the effort of double wrapping it's almost guaranteed that there's something in there that's worth ganking them for. otherwise they'd be safer to not double wrap, let the campers scan them, realise it's not worth ganking them for 3m trit and let them move on.
anyway, is a 1.5bn isk freighter really worth using as a decoy? i'm sure it'd cost a lot less to let rf/push/whoever haul your stuff rather than almost certainly losing a 1.5bn isk freighter to gankers. i'd gladly wait a day to have my stuff moved if it saved me 1bn isk. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 10:43:00 -
[27] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Dave stark wrote: ok so it's a boring monday morning, i'll bite.
you're not making those assumptions, you're just interpreting the quote how you want.
Well, I went by the literal meaning of the quote, which is probably not quite actual, but probably very close. Like I said, the full article mentions all those things you mention, and says that they just flat out haven't worked to save the freighter, in practice. Risk probability nonzero, risk value zero, in the formula we know and love.
thanks for the link, read about half of it, got to the part you quoted and to be honest about it. the way it's worded could be twisted to any side of the argument.
it's almost like saying "there's no risk stealing -ú1m" which can be true if some one leaves it outside your front door (y'know, like jamming an autopiloting freighter full of officer mods until there's no cargo space left) where as trying to steal that same cash from somewhere akin to a bank vault is one of the stupidest ideas you'll ever hear.
when he's asked how many people he uses to gank a freighter he says the responses vary when the ping goes out, that means if only 6 people turn up and you're sailing close the wind at 1bn exactly, odds might be in your favour that he wouldn't risk the ships for 1bn, however if more ships turned up or you had more cargo, odds won't be in your favour. also he says he makes profit from "every gank" that term in itself is very ambiguous. how do you define "every gank"? is that, every successfully popped freighter? well, no **** you make profit from looting a wreckage. alternatively does "every gank" mean every time they open fire regardless of whether the freighter is popped or not? not to mention from some of the quotes it seems like they sail close to the wind regarding sec status also. which means if a badly timed attack goes wrong you could lose a ship which means the difference between a freighter being popped or a freighter escaping by the skin of it's teeth.
occasionally the risk for the ganker is tiny, however that's because they're about to shoot a ship with 40bn isk in it's cargo bay. now, who's fault is it that the gankers are taking such a small risk? not the gankers, it's the freighter pilot.
at the end of the day, every one playing this game can take actions to minimise risk or maximise profit, the two are never usually done at the same time. people either need to accept smaller profit, or stop crying when they get burnt for taking large risks.
it's an interesting article, no doubt, however i don't think we can draw any real conclusions from it. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 11:27:00 -
[28] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:;) and yet doesn't how they operate have everything to do with the game and risk? and miniluv is self-sufficient, or so they claim, so that's another piece of information. There are a ton of real conclusions to be drawn from this article, but it requires reading between the lines.
not with regards to the point you originally quoted. the context that they always get a payout has more to do with how their corp works rather than how risk/reward works.
at the end of the day, these players do this day in day out and know exactly what kind of target to look for, what kind of cargo is worth their time, and the most efficient way to get the job done. however a bigger factor in this is that people stuff so much crap in their cargo hold they don't even need to be as good as they are to get payouts, people are just handing them isk on a plate.
when people are offering up 10x the cost of your ships in loot, the chance to not come out on top is very slim. that has nothing to do with game mechanics and everything to do with the people, the article even says as much.
Quote:1.) The ignorant. These people don't check evekill. They don't understand how courier contracts work. They don't know the best way to ship things.
2.) The lazy/dumb. These people just don't give a ****, or are too impatient to do things the correct way. They autopilot. They just dump everything in their freighter. With FW cashouts, these guys are looking to beat the rush to dump things on the market. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
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Posted - 2012.11.05 12:11:00 -
[29] - Quote
Herr Hammer Draken wrote:Robert Caldera wrote:ShahFluffers wrote:Filling a hauling ship up with a massive assortment of low volume, low-ISK, crap items (like dancers and spirits) to minimize the odds that something valuable will drop. lol wrong, the chance of drop is still 50%. You go item for item and roll a dice for each item in hold. For 1-3 no drop, for 4-6 its a drop. So if you roll the dice for a particular item its 50% chance, regardless if there are further 3748 items you will roll the dice for. So be risky put all 66 billion in one contract on the frieghter. And that is all that is on the frieghter. 50% chance it drops or nothing drops. Now for the guy that claims he will only attack a frieghter when he can profit. Will he take a 50% chance to come away with nothing at all and ruin his streak or is the 66 billion in that one contract enough for him to take the chance and gank it. Then if nothing droped would he admit it, that he lost isk on that gank? We already know for a fact that if the 66 billion does drop it will make the kill mail list.
yes he would.
the expected cargo pay out would be the total value of the cargo multiplied by the drop chance. as per the statistical formula for calculating the expected value, expected value = probability * value. that puts the freighter at an expected 33bn isk pay out.
hence if he ganks enough freighters, he will always be "winning". Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 12:23:00 -
[30] - Quote
baltec1 wrote:You know, I do wonder why people are making such a simple thing so very complicated.
Fools stuff too much into their holds and we take it off them. Thats about as complicated as this needs to get.
because for some reason they feel entitled to 0 risk hauling. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |
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Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
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Posted - 2012.11.05 12:24:00 -
[31] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:Tippia wrote:Vanyr Andrard wrote:Neither of those are 'my' claims. Yes they are. They are not in the article. You made those claims using the article as a (very shoddy) basis to reach those conclusions. No, although they are paraphrases not direct quotes. Here, though. let's move beyond boring claims and into real testing and actions. You pay me 50 billion ISK. I will then "abandon the risk model" personally, in EVE online. I will proceed to act in the game without calculation of risk for 3 weeks, thereby proving that it is possible to do so. If I fail, and accidentally calculate the risk formula, I will return the 50 billion ISK. Seems like a win-win for you, you'll get proof that it's impossible to abandon the risk model, and you'll get 50 billion ISK at the end.
just because you ignore risk doesn't mean it stops existing.
if that were the case, every time an upset child ignored their parents we'd have another orphan on our hands. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 13:00:00 -
[32] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote: The quote which the entire sentence you took this small snippet from was paraphrasing was : ""It's like a scratch-off lottery ticket. You know what you could win, you just don't know what you will win. Our guys do this because they make money every gank and they get free ships to gank with. They don't have to rat, mission, or otherwise carebear for income."
So, they're provided, now I expect 50B in my wallet from you to start the test.
i've already pointed out that this quote has been taken out of context and has nothing to do with the risk of ganking, and everything to do with the structure of their operation. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 13:07:00 -
[33] - Quote
Vanyr Andrard wrote:And you were already answered :) yes, with "i'll read what i want from the article".
baltec1 wrote:Dave stark wrote: on a bad luck streak lately? :P
The other day I gankined an iteron. Everything dropped aside from one thing. So I ended up with an entire fitting for a hulk but no hulk 
on the bright side, if you were only using a catalyst that's almost profitable. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
559
|
Posted - 2012.11.05 13:18:00 -
[34] - Quote
baltec1 wrote:Dave stark wrote:
on the bright side, if you were only using a catalyst that's almost profitable.
I made a mil 
every win's a win! shame you didn't get the hulk though. maybe next time? Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |

Dave stark
Black Nova Corp. R O G U E
571
|
Posted - 2012.11.06 10:16:00 -
[35] - Quote
baltec1 wrote:Again, people demand a nerf to something when there is already very simple answers to their problem.
don't say sensible things like that, you'll upset them. also, don't get them wet or feed them after midnight. Reading my posts is like panning for gold; most it will be useless, but occasionally you'll find a nugget of gold. |
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